Penn State
W-L: (10- 3) PR = 93.6622Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 207 A Richmond Atlantic 10 (10- 2, 90.5) 10- 9 211 H Massachusetts Atlantic 10 (10- 2, 88.3) 17- 9 215 H Bucknell Patriot ( 7- 4, 85.1) 21- 9 218 H Pittsburgh ACC ( 7- 7, 89.2) 12-11 222 A Drexel Colonial ( 4- 8, 83.4) 16- 3 228 A Cornell Ivy League ( 7- 5, 90.7) 11- 9 304 H Colgate Patriot ( 5- 6, 81.9) 20- 8 308 A San Diego State Big 12 ( 2-10, 79.4) 18- 6 312 A Southern California Big Ten ( 7- 8, 86.0) 19- 8 315 H Princeton Ivy League ( 5- 5, 91.7) 11-14 322 H Michigan Big Ten (10- 2, 93.9) 6-11 329 A Maryland Big Ten (13- 0, 93.9) 13-14 405 A Ohio State Big Ten ( 7- 6, 90.3) 18- 9 409 H Oregon Big Ten ( 6- 7, 81.7) 412 H Northwestern Big Ten ( 9- 3, 95.6) 416 H Johns Hopkins Big Ten (11- 3, 93.1) 418 A Rutgers Big Ten ( 8- 5, 90.3)
PREDICTION LIST
-------------------------------------
|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
-------------------------------------
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
207 A Richmond 10- 9 1 2 -0.93
211 H Massachusetts 17- 9 8 7 1.42
215 H Bucknell 21- 9 12 10 + 2.22
218 H Pittsburgh 12-11 1 6 -- -4.69
222 A Drexel 16- 3 13 9 + 3.99
228 A Cornell 11- 9 2 2 0.27
304 H Colgate 20- 8 12 13 -0.95
308 A San Diego State 18- 6 12 13 -1.00
312 A Southern California 19- 8 11 6 ++ 4.54
315 H Princeton 11-14 -3 3 --- -6.22
322 H Michigan 6-11 -5 1 --- -6.01
329 A Maryland 13-14 -1 -1 0.48
405 A Ohio State 18- 9 9 2 +++ 6.90
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 315 H Princeton 11-14 -3 3 --- -6.22 322 H Michigan 6-11 -5 1 --- -6.01 218 H Pittsburgh 12-11 1 6 -- -4.69 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 405 A Ohio State 18- 9 9 2 +++ 6.90 312 A Southern California 19- 8 11 6 ++ 4.54 215 H Bucknell 21- 9 12 10 + 2.22 222 A Drexel 16- 3 13 9 + 3.99 |
Penn State Evaluation
The team that earns the point in the pair-wise comparison is based on three criteria:
first is head-to-head, the winner gets the point, however, if they did not play each
other, than it considers w-l versus common opponents. If their records are tied or they
have no common opponents, than the tie-breaker becomes the better power rating.
The Common Opponent Point list in the table below has the record of the winner followed by the
record of the loser for all common opponents
| Opponent | Who Gets the Point? | Head-2-Head Point |
Common Opponent Point |
Power Rating Point |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Akron | Penn State | Penn State 2- 0 vs 0- 2 | ||
| Albany | Penn State | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Penn State | |
| American | Penn State | Penn State 2- 0 vs 0- 2 | ||
| Arizona State | Penn State | insuffient: ( 2- 0)( 1- 1) | Penn State | |
| Army | Penn State | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Penn State | |
| Austin Peay | Penn State | Penn State | ||
| Binghamton | Penn State | insuffient: ( 2- 0)( 1- 1) | Penn State | |
| Boston College | Penn State | tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 1) | Penn State | |
| Boston University | Penn State | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Penn State | |
| Brown | Penn State | insuffient: ( 2- 0)( 1- 1) | Penn State | |
| Bryant | Penn State | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Penn State | |
| Bucknell | Penn State | Penn State | ||
| Butler | Penn State | Penn State | ||
| California | Penn State | insuffient: ( 2- 0)( 1- 1) | Penn State | |
| Campbell | Penn State | Penn State | ||
| Canisius | Penn State | Penn State | ||
| Central Connecticut | Penn State | Penn State | ||
| Central Michigan | Penn State | Penn State 2- 1 vs 0- 3 | ||
| Cincinnati | Penn State | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Penn State | |
| Clemson | Clemson | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Clemson | |
| Coastal Carolina | Penn State | Penn State | ||
| Colgate | Penn State | Penn State | ||
| Colorado | Penn State | tied - ( 2- 1) ( 2- 1) | Penn State | |
| Columbia | Penn State | insuffient: ( 2- 0)( 1- 1) | Penn State | |
| Connecticut | Penn State | insuffient: ( 2- 0)( 1- 1) | Penn State | |
| Cornell | Penn State | Penn State | ||
| Dartmouth | Penn State | Penn State 2- 0 vs 0- 2 | ||
| Davidson | Penn State | Penn State | ||
| Delaware | Penn State | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Penn State | |
| Delaware State | Penn State | Penn State | ||
| Denver | Penn State | tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 1) | Penn State | |
| Detroit Mercy | Penn State | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Penn State | |
| Drexel | Penn State | Penn State | ||
| Duke | Penn State | insuffient: ( 2- 0)( 1- 1) | Penn State | |
| Duquesne | Penn State | Penn State | ||
| East Carolina | Penn State | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Penn State | |
| Eastern Michigan | Penn State | Penn State | ||
| Elon | Penn State | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Penn State | |
| Fairfield | Penn State | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Penn State | |
| Fairleigh Dickinson | Penn State | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Penn State | |
| Florida | Florida | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Florida | |
| Florida State | Penn State | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Penn State | |
| Furman | Penn State | Penn State | ||
| Gardner Webb | Penn State | Penn State | ||
| George Mason | Penn State | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Penn State | |
| George Washington | Penn State | Penn State | ||
| Georgetown | Penn State | tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 1) | Penn State | |
| Harvard | Penn State | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Penn State | |
| High Point | Penn State | Penn State | ||
| Hofstra | Penn State | tied - ( 1- 2) ( 1- 2) | Penn State | |
| Holy Cross | Penn State | Penn State 3- 0 vs 1- 2 | ||
| Howard (DC) | Penn State | Penn State | ||
| Iona | Penn State | Penn State | ||
| Jacksonville | Penn State | Penn State | ||
| James Madison | Penn State | Penn State 2- 1 vs 0- 3 | ||
| Johns Hopkins | Penn State | tied - ( 3- 1) ( 3- 1) | Penn State | |
| Kennesaw State | Penn State | Penn State | ||
| Kent State | Penn State | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Penn State | |
| La Salle | Penn State | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Penn State | |
| Lafayette | Penn State | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Penn State | |
| Le Moyne | Penn State | Penn State | ||
| Lehigh | Penn State | Penn State 2- 0 vs 0- 2 | ||
| Liberty | Penn State | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Penn State | |
| Lindenwood | Penn State | Penn State | ||
| LIU | Penn State | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Penn State | |
| Longwood | Penn State | Penn State | ||
| Louisville | Penn State | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Penn State | |
| Loyola (MD) | Penn State | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Penn State | |
| Manhattan | Penn State | Penn State | ||
| Marist | Penn State | Penn State | ||
| Marquette | Penn State | Penn State | ||
| Maryland | Maryland | Maryland | ||
| Massachusetts | Penn State | Penn State | ||
| Massachusetts-Lowell | Penn State | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Penn State | |
| Mercer | Penn State | Penn State | ||
| Mercyhurst | Penn State | Penn State | ||
| Merrimack | Penn State | Penn State | ||
| Michigan | Michigan | Michigan | ||
| Monmouth (NJ) | Penn State | Penn State | ||
| Mount St Marys | Penn State | Penn State | ||
| Navy | Penn State | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Penn State | |
| New Hampshire | Penn State | Penn State | ||
| New Haven | Penn State | Penn State | ||
| Niagara | Penn State | Penn State 2- 0 vs 0- 2 | ||
| North Carolina | North Carolina | tied - ( 2- 0) ( 2- 0) | North Carolina | |
| Northwestern | Northwestern | insuffient: ( 2- 0)( 1- 1) | Northwestern | |
| Notre Dame | Penn State | insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 2- 0) | Penn State | |
| Ohio State | Penn State | Penn State | ||
| Old Dominion | Penn State | Penn State | ||
| Oregon | Penn State | insuffient: ( 2- 2)( 1- 3) | Penn State | |
| Penn | Penn State | tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 1) | Penn State | |
| Pittsburgh | Penn State | Penn State | ||
| Presbyterian | Penn State | Penn State | ||
| Princeton | Princeton | Princeton | ||
| Queens | Penn State | Penn State | ||
| Quinnipiac | Penn State | Penn State | ||
| Radford | Penn State | Penn State | ||
| Rhode Island | Penn State | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Penn State | |
| Richmond | Penn State | Penn State | ||
| Rider | Penn State | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Penn State | |
| Robert Morris | Penn State | Penn State 2- 0 vs 0- 2 | ||
| Rutgers | Penn State | tied - ( 3- 2) ( 3- 2) | Penn State | |
| Sacred Heart | Penn State | Penn State | ||
| San Diego State | Penn State | Penn State | ||
| Siena | Penn State | Penn State | ||
| South Florida | Penn State | insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 2) | Penn State | |
| Southern California | Penn State | Penn State | ||
| St Bonaventure | Penn State | Penn State 4- 0 vs 0- 4 | ||
| St Josephs (PA) | Penn State | Penn State 2- 1 vs 0- 3 | ||
| Stanford | Stanford | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Stanford | |
| Stetson | Penn State | Penn State | ||
| Stonehill | Penn State | Penn State | ||
| Stony Brook | Penn State | insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 2- 0) | Penn State | |
| Syracuse | Penn State | tied - ( 2- 1) ( 2- 1) | Penn State | |
| Temple | Penn State | Penn State | ||
| Towson | Penn State | Penn State | ||
| UC Davis | Penn State | Penn State 3- 0 vs 1- 2 | ||
| UMBC | Penn State | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Penn State | |
| UNC-Charlotte | Penn State | Penn State | ||
| Vanderbilt | Penn State | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Penn State | |
| VCU | Penn State | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Penn State | |
| Vermont | Penn State | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Penn State | |
| Villanova | Penn State | Penn State | ||
| Virginia | Penn State | tied - ( 2- 2) ( 2- 2) | Penn State | |
| Virginia Tech | Penn State | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Penn State | |
| Wagner | Penn State | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Penn State | |
| William & Mary | Penn State | insuffient: ( 2- 0)( 1- 1) | Penn State | |
| Winthrop | Penn State | Penn State | ||
| Wofford | Penn State | Penn State | ||
| Xavier | Penn State | Penn State | ||
| Yale | Yale | Yale 2- 0 vs 0- 2 | ||
| Youngstown State | Penn State | Penn State 3- 0 vs 0- 3 |
PowerWise = 123
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 12.45
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
0 A Richmond (10- 2, 90.5) 10- 9 -9.39 31.32 1.22 0.96 62.32
0 H Massachusetts (10- 2, 88.3) 17- 9 -11.60 29.10 -1.22 0.96 53.42
0 H Bucknell ( 7- 4, 85.1) 21- 9 -14.80 25.91 -1.22 0.96 47.30
0 H Pittsburgh ( 7- 7, 89.2) 12-11 -10.71 29.99 -1.22 0.96 55.12
0 A Drexel ( 4- 8, 83.4) 16- 3 -16.47 24.24 1.22 0.96 48.76
0 A Cornell ( 7- 5, 90.7) 11- 9 -9.18 31.52 1.22 0.96 62.72
0 H Colgate ( 5- 6, 81.9) 20- 8 -17.98 22.73 -1.22 0.96 41.21
0 A San Diego Stat ( 2-10, 79.4) 18- 6 -20.45 20.25 1.22 0.96 41.13
0 A Southern Calif ( 7- 8, 86.0) 19- 8 -13.92 26.79 1.22 0.96 53.65
0 H Princeton ( 5- 5, 91.7) 11-14 -8.24 32.47 -1.22 0.96 -4.53
0 H Michigan (10- 2, 93.9) 6-11 -6.03 34.68 -1.22 0.96 -3.47
0 A Maryland (13- 0, 93.9) 13-14 -5.98 34.73 1.22 0.96 -2.28
0 A Ohio State ( 7- 6, 90.3) 18- 9 -9.56 31.15 1.22 0.96 62.00
------
517.34
|
winning pts = 527.6155 losing points = -10.2779
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
------------------------------------------------------------------------
| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
------------------------------------------------------------------------